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Chinese Journal of Lung Diseases(Electronic Edition) ›› 2026, Vol. 19 ›› Issue (03): 365-370. doi: 10.3877/cma.j.issn.1674-6902.2026.03.002

• Original Article • Previous Articles    

Risk analysis of exacerbations and readmission in patients with pre-chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

Lei Shi1, Xiang Zhou1, Xiaobo Xu1, Fuyu Gong1, Lanlan Zheng1, Hang Wang1, Jinhao Sun1, Wenying Fang2,()   

  1. 1Department of Respiratory Medicine, Hefei Eighth People′s Hospital, Hefei 238000, China
    2Department of Respiratory Medicine, The Fourth Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Hefei 236000, China
  • Received:2026-01-27 Online:2026-06-25 Published:2026-07-09
  • Contact: Wenying Fang

Abstract:

Objective

To investigate the risk of acute exacerbations and all-cause readmission in patients with pre-chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD).

Methods

A total of 127 patients with chronic airway diseases admitted to our hospital from October 2021 to October 2023 were selected. Among them, 49 patients with chronic respiratory symptoms and post-bronchodilator forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1)/forced vital capacity (FVC) ≥ 0.7 were assigned to the observation group, and 78 patients with post-bronchodilator FEV1/FVC<0.7 were assigned to the control group. Clinical data, chest imaging findings, laboratory results, and treatment details were collected. Acute exacerbation events and all-cause readmissions were recorded during follow-up. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to analyze the association between lung function classification and acute exacerbations as well as all-cause readmission within 12 months after discharge.

Results

Compared with the control group, the observation group had lower COPD assessment test (CAT) scores [(17.28±5.67) vs. (19.75±6.03), P=0.021], higher arterial partial pressure of oxygen (PaO2) [(84.16±14.88) mmHg vs. (77.85±16.24) mmHg, P=0.025], and lower arterial partial pressure of carbon dioxide (PaCO2) [(41.08±9.45) mmHg vs. (44.92±11.53) mmHg, P=0.044]. The observation group also had lower usage rates of glucocorticoids [30(61.22%) vs. 62(79.49%), P=0.022], inhaled bronchodilators [28(57.14%) vs. 59(75.64%), P=0.025], methylxanthines [26(53.06%) vs. 59(75.64%), P=0.007], and antibiotics [36(73.47%) vs. 70(89.74%), P=0.012]. No significant differences were found in chest imaging or laboratory indicators between the two groups (P>0.05). During follow-up, the observation group had 6 cases of acute exacerbation (12.24%, 95%CI: 8.55~18.65) and the control group had 15 cases (19.25%, 95%CI: 14.70~23.48) (P<0.05); the observation group had 5 cases of all-cause readmission (10.20%, 95%CI: 9.80~13.89) and the control group had 12 cases (15.38%, 95%CI: 14.12~16.75) (P<0.05). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that FEV1/FVC<0.7 was a risk factor for acute exacerbation (HR=1.925, 95%CI: 1.138~3.102, P<0.001) and all-cause readmission (HR=2.488, 95%CI: 1.685~3.615, P<0.001) within 12 months after discharge.

Conclusion

Patients with pre-COPD have a risk of acute exacerbations and readmission. Patients with confirmed COPD have definite airflow limitation, and their medium-term risks of acute exacerbation and readmission are higher than those of pre-COPD patients. Clinical attention should be paid to standardized follow-up, risk factor control, and dynamic monitoring of lung function in pre-COPD patients to reduce the risk of adverse outcomes.

Key words: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, Airflow limitation, Lung function, Assessment test, All-cause readmission

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